Europe drives record US exports

US COAL exports totaled 66.2 million tons in the first half of this year – a 24% increase on the 53.6Mt shipped in the first six months of 2011.
Europe drives record US exports Europe drives record US exports Europe drives record US exports Europe drives record US exports Europe drives record US exports

 

Justin Niessner

The increase marks a record half-year performance and puts the US on track to break the 112.5Mt coal export record of 1981.

Last year, US coal exports hit 107.3Mt.

Despite excitement about booming Asian markets and metallurgical demand, more than half of 2012’s exports have been to European thermal consumers.

The trend has been attributed to the higher price of natural gas in Europe. This is usually tied to the price of oil, which is more than $100 a barrel on the continent.

Coal is priced separately and is experiencing a 40-year low, hovering about $64 per ton, according to the latest US Energy Information Administration data.

Whether coal competitiveness in Europe continues depends largely on pending carbon pricing policies in the European Union.

Deutsche Bank commodities research managing director Mark Lewis told the Financial Times yesterday that a carbon price at 15-20 euros per tonne of CO2 would make gas “much more competitive with coal.”

Nevertheless, US miners are focusing on thermal exports as the domestic coal market evolves while analysts are often eager to extol the value of depressed coal company share prices.

In a report by Wyatt Investment Research, analyst Kevin McElroy said coal “could safely return 100%-200% gains in the next few years.”

The report also highlighted Peabody Energy, noting the producer was trading at less than seven times earnings.

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